Magnificent 7 vs S&P 500

 

The "Magnificent Seven" (Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla) stocks account for approximately 20% to 22% of the entire global stock market's capitalization.

IndexMarket ScopeApproximate WeightSource
MSCI ACWIGlobal (Developed & Emerging)~20%Man Group
MSCI WorldGlobal Developed Markets Only~22%Nationwide Financial
S&P 500United States Large-Cap Only33.9%The Motley Fool


The "Magnificent Seven" as % of S&P 500:
  • Nvidia (NVDA): ~7.4% to 7.6%
  • Apple (AAPL): ~6.7%
  • Amazon (AMZN): ~4.2% to 6.7% (varies dynamically with recent trading)
  • Microsoft (MSFT): ~4.6% to 5.3%
  • Alphabet / Google (GOOGL/GOOG): ~3.5% to 3.9%
  • Meta Platforms (META): ~2.1% to 3.0%
  • Tesla (TSLA): ~2.2% to 2.5

  • Exact closing prices for each "Magnificent Seven" stock on May 29, 2026, and June 30, 2026: 
    Company (Ticker)End of May 2026 CloseEnd of June 2026 CloseMonthly Return
    Microsoft (MSFT)$450.24$373.02-17.15%
    Amazon (AMZN)$270.64$238.34-11.93%
    Meta Platforms (META)$632.51$563.29-10.94%
    Apple (AAPL)$312.06$289.36-7.27%
    Alphabet (GOOGL)$380.34$357.37-6.04%
    NVIDIA (NVDA)$211.14$200.09-5.23%
    Tesla (TSLA)$435.79$420.60-3.49%

    Exact closing prices for each "Magnificent Seven" stock on June 30, 2026 and Aug 10, 2026: 
    Company (Ticker)June 30, 2026 CloseCurrent Price (Aug 10, 2026)Performance Change
    Microsoft (MSFT)$373.02$506.06+35.7%
    Amazon (AMZN)$238.34$278.09+16.7%
    NVIDIA (NVDA)$200.09$217.55+8.7%
    Apple (AAPL)$289.36$308.26+6.5%
    Meta Platforms (META)$563.29$594.92+5.6%
    Alphabet (GOOG)$353.33$355.84+0.7%
    Tesla (TSLA)$420.60$330.88-21.3%

    Free Cash Flow of each "Magnificent Seven" stock:
    Company (Ticker)2026 Operating Cash Flow (OCF)2026 Free Cash Flow (FCF)Comments
    Apple (AAPL)$165.40 Billion$105.50 BillionTracking off an actual $82.7B H1 print.
    Meta Platforms (META)$127.40 Billion$3.14 BillionQ2 FCF collapsed to $784M due to a massive $31.08B quarterly Capex spike.
    Microsoft (MSFT)$122.70 Billion$66.99 BillionFY2026 actuals; FCF dipped 6.4% due to $55.7B spent on cloud infrastructure.
    NVIDIA (NVDA)$105.00 Billion$96.68 BillionFY2026 actuals; FCF surged 58.8% via high pricing power and 75% gross margins.
    Amazon (AMZN)$161.40 Billion-$7.60 BillionTrailing 12-months FCF dipped negative under a $200B multi-year Capex plan.
    Alphabet (GOOGL)$78.20 Billion$8.40 BillionSqueezed heavily by a $44.9B Q2 Capex budget, pushing Q2 FCF into a deficit.
    Tesla (TSLA)$17.20 Billion$0.60 BillionH1 FCF dragged down by a negative $1.1B print in Q2 amid AI & Optimus tooling.
    TOTALS$777.30 Billion$273.71 BillionCombined free cash flow conversion rate sits at 35.2%.

    P/E Ratios of each "Magnificent Seven" stock:
    Company (Ticker)Stock Price (Aug 10, 2026)Trailing P/E (TTM)Forward P/E (FY2026)Core Rationale & Market Sentiment
    Alphabet (GOOG)$355.8417.9x17.3xCheapest; heavily discounted due to massive CapEx dragging short-term margins.
    Meta Platforms (META)$594.9222.3x18.7xHigh earnings growth from advertising efficiency is compressing its forward multiple rapidly.
    Amazon (AMZN)$278.0922.3x22.1xHistorical P/E is at multi-year lows as AWS and digital ad scaling outpace infrastructure build costs.
    NVIDIA (NVDA)$217.5533.3x24.3xForward P/E is surprisingly low relative to growth because triple-digit EPS spikes constantly outpace the share price.
    Microsoft (MSFT)$506.0628.4x26.0xPremium software multiple supported by Azure clearing a milestone $100 billion annualized run-rate.
    Apple (AAPL)$308.2638.1x32.9xHistorically stretched multiple; investors are paying a steep premium for high-margin services revenue.
    Tesla (TSLA)$330.88304.2x191.2xOutlier multiple; automotive margins are under pressure while valuation heavily relies on future autonomy and robotics.

    Removing OpenAI deals from Microsoft's sales:
    Adjustment ScenarioAdjusted Net IncomeNew EPSRecomputed P/E
    1. Reported Baseline (As of Aug 2026)$133.76 Billion$17.9528.19x
    2. Remove Non-Operating Gains Only$128.80 Billion$17.2829.28x
    3. Remove Sales at Standard Margin$120.00 Billion$16.1031.42x
    4. Worst-Case Circular Collapse$104.70 Billion$14.0536.0x


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